Power Law
Log-log regression with R² = 0.961. Fair value corridor, oscillator, and forward-return distribution by valuation zone.
Global Liquidity Fair Value
Bitcoin priced against global M2 liquidity with R² = 0.92. Z-score valuation bands and 6-month forward returns.
M2 YoY Overlay
Global M2 money supply year-over-year change overlaid on BTC price. Liquidity momentum regime via 30 vs 365 EMA crossover.
200DMA Quantile Regression
Where price sits relative to its own 200DMA history. Expanding-window quantile bands from deep value to euphoria.
Fear Premium
Composite discount/premium vs on-chain fair value: Realized Price, Power Law, MVRV, and M2 Liquidity model blended into one fear gauge.
Harmonic Oscillator
Damped harmonic oscillator applied to Bitcoin's decaying cycle envelope. Capitulation-to-euphoria with forward-return stats.