DurdenBTC — Drawdown Management as a Compounding Strategy

What You Get

Signal. Strategy. Edge.

Free + Paid

Signal Updates

Real-time regime change alerts for S&P 500 and Bitcoin. Know exactly when the systems go risk-on or risk-off. No guessing, no lag.

Free + Paid

Strategy Breakdowns

Deep dives into indicator development, backtesting methodology, system optimization, and lessons learned running real capital through these systems.

Paid Only

8th Rule Indicator

Full access to the Bitcoin volatility-regime overlay. The exact system I use to manage my own BTC position. Signals, methodology, and real-time updates.

The Systems

Two Systems, One Philosophy

S&P 500

Macro Regime Engine

Multi-asset voting system polling 20+ global assets. Binary decision: fully invested or cash. Dodged the dot-com crash, GFC, COVID, and 2022 bear.

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Bitcoin

The Eighth Rule

Volatility-regime overlay calibrated for Bitcoin's unique return distribution. Only long during confirmed bullish trends. Exits on full reversal, not chop.

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How It Works

Three Steps

01

Subscribe

Join on Substack. Free subscribers get signal updates and strategy posts. Paid subscribers unlock full 8th Rule indicator access.

02

Receive Signals

Get notified when regime changes occur. The Macro Engine and 8th Rule generate clear risk-on/risk-off signals — no ambiguity.

03

Execute

Apply the signals to your own portfolio. Full position when risk-on, cash when risk-off. The math handles the rest over time.

Survival Is Alpha