DurdenBTC · Research · May 11, 2026

SIGNAL CHANGE: Arsenal ETH

A new position is live. Here’s what changed and why.

Arsenal ETH just flipped. As of yesterday’s morning pipeline run, the dashboard confirmed a new signal and the position is live.

I’ll get into the trade, sizing, and execution below. First, the obligatory reminder, because this matters more than any single signal.

This is how the system works. We don’t predict. We don’t front-run. We don’t negotiate with the tape. When the conditions are met, we move.. ruthlessly, and without hesitation.

The system doesn’t care about your feelings, the news cycle, or what the perma-bulls thinks. It only cares about the math.

Below: what triggered and how it slots into the current portfolio allocation.

◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄► SURVIVAL IS ALPHA ◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►

Portfolio Changes

Selling a 50% position in ETH.. 5% of total portfolio via $ETH. Updated portfolio as of this writing:

The signal actually fired yesterday morning (as published in the chat) but for those using ETFs like I am weekend signals cannot be acted upon because of EXTO hours (24/5) and I’m in the final stages of confirming all live pipeline runs to DurdenBTC.com match my local engine tick for tick (spoiler: they do, but I’m OCD when it comes to correctness).

Just a reminder: This engine will underperform in choppy markets. It is a trend following based engine, not a mean reversion one.

You can see by the diagnostic view that we are still fairly far from even sniffing at the 200-Day SMA.

Be on your toes when that breaks to the upside.

— Durden out.

✊🧼

◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄► SURVIVAL IS ALPHA ◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►◄►

Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Trading equities and futures involves substantial risk of loss, including the potential for loss exceeding your initial investment.

Past performance, whether backtested or live, does not guarantee future results. Backtested performance has inherent limitations: it is designed with the benefit of hindsight, does not reflect actual trading, and does not account for all factors that may affect real-world execution.

The author is not a licensed financial advisor. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.

Want the live dashboards behind these insights?

Free subscribers get research updates. Paid subscribers get live macro tools + signal alerts.