Research

Optimization Update: How We Just Squeezed More Alpha Out of the System

A look under the hood at the latest optimization, why I wasn't happy with 2025, and the new metrics.

January 9, 2026by @DurdenBTC

First off, a massive shoutout to the paid subscribers. You are the reason I keep refining this edge. I appreciate every single one of you.

As the subs know, the system officially triggered LONG Bitcoin on Monday and we are positioned to capture upside (we are still long as of this writing).

before optimization

New backtest results:


Why This Update Wins (The Technical Breakdown)

Usually in system design, you have to pick a lane: you either chase high returns with higher risk, or you accept lower returns for better safety.

This update breaks that correlation. It beats both previous versions of the system simultaneously:

  1. The “Holy Grail” of Efficiency: We hit a Profit Factor of 5.107.. the highest we have ever generated. This means for every dollar risking loss, the system generated five dollars in profit.

  2. Higher Reward, Lower Risk: We pushed Net Profit to +24,146% (beating the previous high-risk strategy) while simultaneously pulling Max Drawdown below 30% (beating the previous conservative strategy).

  3. The “Goldilocks” Zone: The new logic filtered out exactly 3 specific trades that were historically dragging us down. We removed the losers without accidentally filtering out any of the massive “God Candle” winners.

I couldn’t sleep until I fixed this. Now that the logic is clean, I’m ready to let it run.

Let me know in the comments if you have questions on the specific parameters.

If you want to see the original breakdown that inspired this work, feel free to check it out below. 👇


⚔️ Stay Sharp

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💥 Stay sovereign. Don’t be exit liquidity.

— Durden out.

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