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STH Realized Price • Line in the Sand

Simple, brutal, effective: above STH realized price = expansion; below = risk-off. Regime shading updates in real time.

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The Short-Term Holders (STH) Realized Price Bull/Bear Market Indicator draws a clear line in the sand for Bitcoin trend following. It uses the average on-chain cost basis of coins held by short-term holders (typically ≤155 days) as a dynamic support/resistance level.

This tool compares BTC spot price to the STH Realized Price and shades regimes in real time. When market price holds above the STH level, it signals expansion, improving risk appetite, and supportive momentum. When price falls below the STH level, it marks risk-off conditions and vulnerability to distribution.

The result is a simple, brutal, effective signal that updates continuously—no complex parameters required. Traders and analysts can use it to confirm breakouts, manage exposure during pullbacks, and anchor bias during volatile phases.

By reducing the market to one objective threshold—the short-term cohort’s cost basis—this visualization provides a disciplined, data-driven framework for timing Bitcoin’s bullish and bearish regimes.

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Website created @ Bitcoin Blockheight: 913615

Data sources include FRED, Bitcoin Core, and other third-party providers.
Prices and data are provided "as is" and may be delayed or inaccurate.

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For research and educational purposes only.
Nothing on this site is investment, legal, or tax advice.
Cryptoassets are volatile and involve risk of loss.
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