Yesterday I published this article: I Spent 48 Hours Reverse-Engineering a $2,000/Year Institutional Signal. The response was overwhelming (for my small Substack anyway).. the most common ask was: “Where can I get access to this indicator?!”
I spent this morning polishing up some final touches and ensuring the default settings are set for BTCUSD:INDEX (on the Daily timeframe). The indicator is now live.
The indicator is free to use. It ships with optimized presets for both BTC and SPY baked into the settings tooltips (BTC is loaded by default). It’s designed strictly for the Daily timeframe.
It’s published closed-source for now. I’m still doing research on how some of the signal interactions layer with my existing system (the 8th Rule / Macro Regime Engine), and there may be additional edge I can extract from the overlap. Once that research is done I’ll revisit.
For the nerds: I also cleaned up and released the full research summary that documents the methodology, architecture, factor calibration, and backtest results.
You can read it here: Two-Factor Signal Research Doc
I also completely rebuilt DurdenBTC.com. The old site was a collection of dashboards I never updated. The new one is a single page that lays out the entire thesis.. why volatility drag destroys compounding, why drawdown management beats riding the full wave even inside a secular uptrend, and how the Macro Regime Engine and 8th Rule implement that philosophy across SPY and BTC. If you’ve ever wanted a single link to send someone who asks “what’s your approach?”.. this is it.
Survival is alpha. Go use it.
— Durden out.
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